Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 349.736363 396.066379 447.329978 508.447531 579.571943 660.018785 758.304483
2025-11-23 276.180394 335.989726 407.990981 501.796962 621.866493 771.862805 975.729664
2025-11-30 239.160063 304.974302 388.769623 504.722289 663.284766 875.874405 1188.219368
2025-12-07 208.726255 276.052334 365.606207 495.597285 683.096872 949.506282 1367.346522
2025-12-14 187.105320 255.229515 349.292553 491.593045 706.674240 1028.474730 1563.971452
2025-12-21 165.106152 230.973855 324.749778 471.565432 702.352234 1063.155556 1695.060762
2025-12-28 156.235379 224.288723 324.282364 486.521419 752.305244 1187.729571 1993.712909
2026-01-04 149.671107 220.123122 326.757443 505.735043 810.797359 1333.833068 2356.371223
2026-01-11 140.057624 210.252343 319.216915 507.514952 839.709634 1432.500907 2649.309506
2026-01-18 128.885495 196.878423 304.723422 495.811591 843.140152 1485.016366 2860.799561
2026-01-25 119.349361 185.289293 292.003784 485.594774 847.569965 1539.299993 3085.352271
2026-02-01 115.120317 181.979456 292.644175 498.798744 896.852536 1687.318964 3542.138572
2026-02-08 108.616246 174.473924 285.690731 497.870390 919.656010 1787.207465 3916.826562
2026-02-15 101.886024 166.073782 276.479069 491.784096 931.498037 1866.184922 4260.860715
2026-02-22 97.163791 160.763236 272.237340 494.610434 961.701829 1989.495173 4745.213897
2026-03-01 91.208631 152.823353 262.551834 485.701036 965.834128 2054.325676 5091.105615
2026-03-08 86.458222 146.703766 255.723785 481.790007 980.243780 2145.373266 5532.716437
2026-03-15 80.107364 137.243847 241.911588 462.227538 957.285195 2142.404747 5701.535976
2026-03-22 78.456813 136.350449 244.353679 476.836487 1014.321891 2348.393463 6559.405952
2026-03-29 77.348767 136.379751 248.556398 495.601641 1083.726856 2599.365655 7641.209826
2026-04-05 74.417579 132.722434 245.157916 497.339858 1112.027726 2745.254003 8418.341806
2026-04-12 70.322866 126.555815 236.260315 485.910180 1105.990578 2794.496886 8869.367155
2026-04-19 66.665554 121.033991 228.309834 475.931397 1102.502086 2850.787042 9366.310549